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Showing posts with label Regionals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Regionals. Show all posts

Sunday, April 27, 2008

The field is set...

...or at least 14 of 16 teams.


Wow, what a great day for ultimate. The series is so exciting because it is the time of the year where results matter the most game to game. Yes, you need to win to advance but leaving it all on the field and losing in a final is a risky venture. It's like bidding on an incut when you are covering a guy with great throws. Yes you may get a huge layout D but if you come up short you are vulnerable to a huge strike your defense can't stop. Georgia understood this and can get their tickets for Boulder. Maryland? Not so much. Here is a run down of Sunday's results.

Florida takes the region for the 3rd year in a row. Great for them. They will be the 1 seed going into Nationals and the golden disc is theirs to lose. Congratulations. I don't need to say anyomore.


On a more exciting note, WOW, go Georgia. Like Delaware, JoJah really showed up when it mattered. At Centex and Sectionals they did not look like the team that could take the 2nd spot out of the most competitive region in the country. While they were losing to Cal, Santa Cruz and Harvard at Centex, UNC was making the finals. In addition, when UNC was murdering UNC-W and NC State at sectionals (two teams in the top 20), Georgia struggled against Georgia Tech.


However, come regionals, the dogs were let out and JoJah came to play. They take out UNC 15-12 on Saturday which is good but it doesn't mean anything. They gave UNC a taste of their strategy and also gave them fire because both teams knew a rematch was coming. However, one of the most interesting moves of the day was Georgia in the Finals. Losing 17-5? Yeah like that's a representative score. There is no way Georgia was going 100% and it makes sense. You have a team with guys like Greg Swanson who are amazing but injury prone going against a team that will frustrate you and run you into the ground if you let them. Georgia must have known this game was not within their grasp, but it didn't need to be. Making it out of the region is all that matters and 2nd is better than not qualifying.


In letting off the gas, it is really easy to stay motivated. You know your weaknesses and you can take some chances in a game you know you are going to lose. Maybe feel out the wind, maybe get some young legs warmed up, get your rookies some experience against the most elite competitions. Meanwhile, UNC is duking it out with Central Florida in a game they HAVE to win. Let them get gassed, let them leave it all on the adjacent field because in an hour or so, we are going to eat them alive and that is exactly what Georgia did. Hats off to the red and white. I look forward to seeing them with their extremely spirited banter at Nationals next month.


Probably the least exciting regionals all weekend but I am sure Wisconsin is thrilled right now. This is their 3rd Regional title in a row ('06-'08) and despite a few mental lapses this year, they were very prepared for Carleton and achieved their primary goal. Good work. They'll be the #2 team at Nationals and we might see a Blue Caller game in Boulder.


As for Carleton, they made the show and that is all that matters. The good thing about making nationals is that it doesn't matter if you struggled against a regional foe because odds are you won't face them in May. The good thing about CUT is that they are only going to improve. Wisconsin is riding several 4th/5th years in Rebholz, Muffin, Shane, Will and Foster and the grunt work for CUT is coming from freshmen and sophmores. I hear Patrick Roberts (freshman) is unreal for CUT, scoring 5 of CUT's 10 goals in the regional finals and with Lindsley, Foster, Fagin, etc... Carleton is only going to get better. Look for them to get some serious experience in 3 weeks, competing at the highest level and I sincerely hope they take notes because next year can/should be an improvement from 2008, but they are going to have to remain focused on their weaknesses as a team in the off-season.


I am really happy for Magnum. I know I keep talking them up but when you have a team that makes nationals every year but gets snubbed out in pre/quarters and then doesn't qualify, it is really nice to see them bounce back. Purcell is a great player and I am really excited to see what Michigan does at Nationals. I see them as the 4th seed with only Florida, Wisconsin and Colorado above them. They are playing incredible disc and their program is ready to take the semis step. However, this is a tough situation to be in. In 2005, Georgia was in the same boat. They won the AC for the first time in recent years and came in as the 4 seed at Natties riding hype they had never seen. However, they came out flat to my alma matter and got stuck playing a dominate Stanford team in quarters instead of Texas. I hope Michigan doesn't go down because they could face a 5th seeded Santa Cruz team and that could give them trouble. However, I think with the team's already experienced roster, they are in good shape to come out hot in pool play.


As for Illinois, I really think they played incredibly well considering that the back door bracket was filled with 15-12 games. All of these teams were close in skill and Illinois' 26 points of ultimate after a finals loss to Michigan to beat an experienced and talented Ohio State team was very impressive. I would have loved to have seen the hand shake after that back door final. Both teams put together great seasons and this was their first meeting. Both had played and lost to Michigan by almost the same score and were so close in ability. This might have been one of the best games of Sunday and I'm really stoked for Illinois. The last time they were at Nationals was 2004 when they finished behind Michigan State at Regionals. This year they have looked good from start to finish and with great leadership from players Joel Koehneman, I am not surprised that they managed to make it back the show.


In addition, I want to give props to Notre Dame. This region has been Michigan, Michigan State, and sometimes Ohio State and Illinois. Now it looks like another team is taking shots at the top. Much like North Texas, they are coming out of the woodwork and I like to see shifts in the hierarchy. Send your kids to club practice in the summer and stay hungry. You played great and do yourselves a favor and get better for next year.


Hats off to Side Show, they are the surprise of the weekend. I look forward to seeing the squirrley Dan Cuoco at Natties, now as the experienced senior making his 3rd trip to Nationals. I don't know if a Florida upset is in the works again, but they are definitely playing their best disc of the year and what a great time to peak.


On the other hand, I feel really bad for Maryland. They come out hot and look like they can make a run for a natties birth but they hit a tough situation. They are going against a team that is historically better than they are but hasn't had nearly the success throughout the season. They then get stuck with a tough time cap situation and get the hex of all hexes, a DGP loss in the regional finals. In playing the cream of their line up, I am sure a 27 point final right before their last chance at nationals was NOT what the doctor ordered. Conversely, i am sure Pitt was absolutely ecstatic, once they realized that they had the legs to walk all over Maryland. Hopefully the Space Bastards learn their lesson and take the Georgia initiative the next time out. Not that they needed to tank that game, but their is no excuse to get so close and then get blown out. Constructive play calling has to come into play because winning does not matter as much as making nationals.


Lastly, wow Pitt. Some day you will make nationals by winning the region. Yes they get their shot at Boulder but their seeding has plummeted because of their loss to Delaware. Had they swept the region they could have been looking a 1, but probably a 2 seed at nationals, something the Metro East hasn't done recently. However, now that they are the 2nd team out the ME, they will be lucky to get a 3 seed. This might not be a bad thing however. In looking up at teams they have pressure taken off of them and could be in a "beat Wisconsin at Centex" mode. 2nd seed teams like Santa Cruz, Georgia, Texas or Arizona are not going to want to have to struggle with pesky 3/4 seeds and Pitt could play spoiler Friday at Nationals.


I might be a bigger fan of DLK than he is of me right now. I am so impressed with the season he and the Slugs have put together. Santa Cruz has not come out of the Northwest since this guy Sammy CK went there and they were riding Stanford's coat tails back then. They took the Northwest for the first time and won their region for the first time since 1995 when it was just "the west". This year Santa Cruz has been in elite discussion, partially because Danny has verbally put them there, despite not really dominating until sectionals. However, they got it done. I hear they played great in the wind yesterday and with no wind today in Davis, they just out hustled UBC. Congratulations and hopefully their Centex, TiV and Stanford experience will make up for their lack of Nationals experience.


Stanford over UBC, wow. Folks, that's Sherwood with an "S" for your Callahan ballot. This guy's back must be so sore. It is weird to see Stanford rely on a single player when my critique of Bloodthirsty is there lack of a superstar. Each of their semis' exits was to a Callahan winner, but at least they were in semis. Depth was Stanford's strength and despite now having a superstar, they will be lucky to make quarters (Watch them make it back to semis, they got up and over Oregon after losing at Regionals in 2006 and got the chance to get pwned by Florida). As far as Stanford's Nationals chances, I have no idea. They have SO much nationals experience and this is where they play their best. Maybe this is a peaking issue, maybe they just don't go down quietly, EVER. I will say that there will be a lot of teams at Nationals that have beaten Stanford (Florida, Wisconsin, Illinois, Carleton, and Santa Cruz) this year and the confidence Stanford has locked up with their endowment better outshine their apparent lack of confidence in 2008 if they want to play late at natties.


Way to get that W back TUFF. For the non-believers out there, this kid Stephen Pressly, is the real deal. Franchise and Texas came back and avenged their sectional defeat with a great come back win over UNT and I think #22 deserves some serious attention. Texas needed to snap out of it and they dodged a serious bullet and took the South again. I am sure a DGP win is not what they were hoping for but it doesn't matter how close the game is, as long as you have smiles when the last goal is scored. Good work, I can't wait to see what they bring at Nationals.


As far as UNT goes, they have nothing to be upset about. They earned their first trip to Nationals and despite losing to Texas, they are still a great team. They probably won't see TUFF at Nationals and considering that most teams in Boulder haven't played UNT, they will be ready to play spoiler. I think they will look good against teams, especially from the Northwest because they like to huck as much as Santa Cruz but they are BIG and will be able to get up and over Stanford. They will own the skies if teams let them and I would not be surprised to see UNT make it out of pool play next month.


Yes the Bird pecks here. Colorado does it again. They might have looked bad at Vegas and Stanford, but they are never down and out. I am curious to know what they will be like without Martin and Jolian (the few relics from the '04 championship team) next year but that doesn't matter now. Colorado will probably be the 3 seed because they were absolutely dominate in the series and beat Michigan in consolation at Centex. They also took out everyone as usual at Fools Fest, and despite a slow start, they have finished as hot as ever. However, I am curious to know how they do at home. They made the finals last year by beating Florida. In 2006 they lost to Georgia, a team that seems to give them trouble, in quarters. In 2005 and 2004 they were in the finals and if you go way back to 2003, they made semis. But this year? I think they are better than losing in quarters but getting out of semis? I've got them as the 3 seed behind Wisconsin and if they play to seed we might get to see a Hodag vs Mamabird battle, something folks always seem to want but doesn't happen often enough. That matchup is awesome because Colorado is a lot like Florida in the sense that they are all business and line up well against an intense Wisconsin team.


Congrats to Arizona, they have got to be on cloud 9 right now. They played a great second half against Colorado and stuck it to Tide in a game that they have never had the chance to play in. I think they are definitely fortunate to have all their talent peak in their 5th year when the SW had two bids (HINT: 20 TEAM NATIONAL FORMAT). If this Sunburn team had shown up last year, it would have all been for not. I met a few of their guys in the airport in Austin and they just seem so content with their program and I really like seeing that. I think they have the best handling squad in the country and they play great ultimate, regardless of pressure. Despite the fact that they have never been to the show, they won't buckle. Yes, they lost to Colorado, but they beat Tide when Tide looked like they were back in black after dismantling Claremont. Good luck to them at nationals, they won't need it.


Closing Thoughts
So with most of the series over, we can start to think about Nationals and how teams will do. I think the matchups this year are going to be some of the best I have ever seen. Teams like Oregon and Santa Barbara have slipped letting teams like Santa Cruz and Arizona have their chance at glory. A lot of these teams will be seeing each other for only the 2nd or 3rd time in their programs history because most of them are relatively new to the national scene. I love this kind of ultimate because it changes paradigms and forces us to change how we think and feel about the game. A decade ago, it was all about Stanford and Santa Barbara and in the last few years new powerhouses have emerged like Florida and Wisconsin. The end result is an ever changing sport that is now being chronicled by some great minds and now, instead of having hearsay history and RSD rumors about teams like LPC '94, Chabot CC '87, UNC-Wilmington '93, East Carolina '94/'95, and so on, we now have several years of documented footage of teams coming into their own.


2008, in my opinion, has been the best year for the ultimate fans. Rob's footage has become a staple over the last few years and his ability to deliver information as opposed to just entertainment has allowed bloggers and websites like mssui to discuss and articulate this sport in a manner that has never before been possible. More and more people are going to Nationals just to watch and because teams have been discussed since January, many of these people have witnessed the up and down emotional roller coaster of teams like Arizona, Wisconsin, Florida, Colorado, Tufts, Stanford, Ottawa, Georgia, NC State, UNC-W, Claremont, etc.. This year, every team at college nationals will be known. Every team will have a history that people can recall. Every spectator will understand what it took for each team to get this far and how much each had to invest in their program to succeed. I love it and I hope Northeast regionals is just as exciting.


just my thoughts


match diesel

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Ok, here we go

Tonight is the eve of the most exciting day in ultimate to date this year. The semis have been played across the country and tomorrow will showcase the 1s and 2s across 7 of 8 regions and we'll get to see who makes the show and who gets a head start on a year's worth of preparation.

Hats off to Georgia. My loyalty to them has been up and down all year but in beating UNC they have shown themselves to be a better team today then they were last year. Last year, they struggled to get out the region and had to take the 3rd bid (which they themselves earned). However, they took it to Darkside today with a convincing 15-12 win. I'd like to think that their chances of making nationals are significantly better than I thought, but this is still regionals and they haven't won anything yet. Tomorrow they will go against Florida, the #1 team in the country and a squad Georgia has not beaten in some time. Tomorrow's competition will be all about mental toughness. A win against the gators is going to be tough and the true test will be Georgia's ability to win the backdoor game. They will probably face UNC again and, like I have said before, beating a team twice is REALLY tough. A 15-12 win is big but it's not like a 15-8 win. Tomorrow, both teams will be fighting for the last spot out of the AC. Everything will be left on the field and I wonder if Georgia has the depth. This is an exciting time and I hope we see more fireworks tomorrow in Statesbro.

The game that has been branded on everyone's calendar is set for tomorrow, Wisconsin vs Carleton. All Wisconsin cares about is winning the Central Region. Winning nationals is nice, but winning the region is what these kids train for. They hate CUT and this game matters more to baby blue than any other game, save maybe Florida. However, a DGP semis is not something Wisconsin was expecting. I have no idea where the hell Iowa came from, but wow, this is confidence you can't buy. It is awesome that Iowa ended their day with this game because playing after a DGP loss sucks ass. However, they have the knowledge that they took the former champs to the brink of a game to go situation. This game result is good for both teams. Wisconsin knows they're not impervious, even in their own region and Iowa knows that their offense can handle the most intense D in the country. However, with as many close calls as Wisconsin has had the last few times out, I think this goes to show you the value of a coach. Muffin suggested this in his Centex writeup and I wonder if things will change in the next year.

As far as Carleton goes they look as good as they need to be. Centex and Stanford were not kind to them but with as much ultimate knowledge as these kids have with as many alums drooling to drop constructive help, they should be as good as they can be. I think their game plan should revolve around taking advantage of Wisconsin's aggression both on O and D. Put up great fakes to get Wisconsin to bite, opening up break side strikes and on D they have to take advantage of Wisconsin's throw-a-ways. They will give you chances, but Carleton must make intelligent choices. I think a coach would help in these situations but I'm sure getting a stable veteran to hang out in Northfield, Minnesota is a tough pull.

In any event, I really hope Carleton gets their shot at Wisconsin. Michigan, Pitt, UBC, Arizona and now Iowa have beaten or have been close to beating Wisconsin and I hope Carleton can break into this club. Wisconsin will be focused but I hope their Saturday night talk is not negative. Getting down on yourself is not a way to win in a situation like this. They won and thats all that matters. Their preparation has been unparalleled and all they need to do is focus. Hold onto the disc and your defense will get you the breaks you need. Wisconsin has been all over CUT these last few years but the 2006 Final was close and this year could be more of the same. Regardless, this could be the best regional final of the weekend or the 7th best of tomorrow, it all depends on Carleton. These young kids are going to play the game of their life, I just hope their leadership can set the example their young legs need.

This region has gone as I expected with Michigan on top so far. However, Notre Dame, Illinois and Ohio State all look good. I think Michigan takes out Illinois in the Finals tomorrow but the semis of the back door bracket will feature the 3/4 teams in this region (OSU and ND) with no clear favorite and the 2/3 game with Illinois will be anyone's game. I am curious about Ohio State because they have yet to play Illinois this year and they both have solid claims to #2 in the region. Good luck to Michigan in the finals. Purcell deserves the regional title and I want to see them take this region. However, among the other 3, any team could come out on top and I really hope we see some fireworks. Ultimate is the best when teams play above their expectations and all three have that opportunity tomorrow. I hope the winners of the first round save enough to win in a game to go situation. It's gonna come down the wire and I'm sure they wouldn't have it any other way.

Yikes, who had these results pegged? Not me. Pitt was supposed to be the #2 guaranteed team to make nationals but hype means jack shit if you can't get it done. This seems to be Pitt's problem. They have the talent, but winning the region is something they struggle with. Peripheral to Pitt, go Delaware. I dunno where the hell Side Show has been all year and I suppose things like peaking at the right time can come into play here. Maryland has been consistent this year with a finals appearance at Hellfish and quality wins over Wesleyan, Penn and Delaware at sectionals. That 15-11 win means a lot more now, but Delaware won the region last year and Maryland has yet to make the show. I think the loser of this game is in deep shit because Pitt is going to come out hot tomorrow and I wouldn't be surprised if they took the 2nd spot.

As crazy as the NW has been this year, things have gone to seed for the most part, hats off to the TDs. From what I hear, Santa Cruz has looked awesome. Karlinsky's hucks are as good as they need to be and with guys like Russell Wynne, I am not surprised. I also love seeing a truly committed captain lead his team. Muffin seems to be the heart of Wisconsin, Kurt Gibson for Florida, Sherwood for Stanford, Purcell for Michigan, Kershner for Arizona, etc... However, DLK seems to be a different breed. He draws a lot of attention but he's modest. Good shit but don't fuck it up.

Regardless, Santa Cruz is going to get one hell of an opponent in UBC. Stanford's young legs are strong and fast but their mental game is not as sharp as the Thunderbirds. These 5th years know what they are doing and I think they can handle speed. They also don't have to play anyone before Santa Cruz so they are going to be as fresh as they need to be. I think they aim for Santa Cruz's favorite weapon, their hucks. If they can put pressure on Santa Cruz and get hucks to float or go out of bounds, they'll have the chances they need. Their D is also going to be as good as it gets Sunday morning and even if they go down to Santa Cruz I think they can handle Stanford, Oregon, Whitman or Cal, teams that don't have the experience or depth to beat the birds. Seeing that Santa Cruz took out Stanford with authority I think they are also in good shape to make the show and I do hope they do. There's nothing like a new face at nationals.

Texas Sectional finals part 2. I like the strength of UNT so far. They are big, bad and fearless. They have swept through their competition and are as close to taking the South as they ever have been. Texas on other hand, has been here before. They took it last year and the year before and yeah, they have the experience and UNT does not. I think TUFF is ready for this game. They have had the memory of a UNT loss for 2 weeks and hopefully they will have the offensive composure to take advantage of UNT's inexperience. Franchise needs to put this game on his shoulders because he will be the most talented give and go player on the field. If he gets the touches, Texas' offense should roll. However, UNT will test Texas' composure. They're tall and fast and like the deep game and will try and take the wind out of TUFF's sails. If they can get rolling, they may have the ability to lead the whole game, but Texas' depth and focus could give them the boost to avenge their sectional woes.

Yep, it's Colorado and Arizona. Back at Vegas folks, like myself, wondered if Sunburn was the real deal. Could they keep it up all year? And they did. They have played as well as anyone could have hoped this year and getting to nationals is there for the taking. They may have gone down 5-0 to Colorado and lost at Centex, but Arizona has a team of veterans that have seen the best in the country. TiV, Stanford, Centex, the gambit has featured Sunburn all year and they have all the pieces. Their front 7 will be able to score on Colorado's D-line especially considering that Gafni and Kershner play great D themselves if they lose the disc.

However, like I said last week, this is MB's house. San Diego, Santa Barbara, Colorado, wherever regionals is, Colorado has won. Their hype will get the respect of any opponent and all they need to do is play their offense. Pebbles and Wicus are having great years and Mac and Jolian are the play makers they need. Martin runs a great D line and even if he doesn't generate the D himself, he takes pressure off his team mates because their matchups are easier. They also have the luxury of playing with no pressure on them. Their game is their game, nothing new, nothing exciting, just play the way you have in practice. Arizona will have to play the game of all of their careers to get past Colorado under these circumstances. I remember in 2003 when I watched my A team play in the same situation. We had never been to natties and Arizona has yet to break their cherry. I wish them luck but I also wish them legs. Keep it together, think about that game to go. Claremont, Santa Barbara or whoever else will take advantage of any weakness and I hope they don't go down like they did at Centex, losing twice, once they lost once.

Yeah Dartmouth pwned as usual.

Closing thoughts
Tomorrow will be a great day for some and a bad day for more. I think Florida, Wisconsin and maybe Colorado are basically shoe ins. They bring a confidence no other team has in their respective regions and I think at the college level, this is a force that is tough to dodge.

I am really impressed with Delaware and Georgia. They are both teams that have been at Natties consistently over the last few years and despite less than stellar seasons, they showed up when it matters. I think both are in danger of a 1-1 situation because both Pitt and UNC are ready for redemption.

I think the two best finals will be the Northwest and the Central. UBC vs Santa Cruz is going to be a great game with UBC's precision and Santa Cruz's speed. Wisconsin is ready for this game and despite mental slip ups at varying times of the year, they will be ready. Carleton however is loaded with talent and have the potential to play as good a disc as any team that has raised the pulses of the hodags.

I would like to say that it's just a game. Win or lose, players need to remember why they first started playing ultimate in the first place. However, with as much commitment as it takes to win at this level, one cannot win without investing an over abundance of time, energy and emotion. Good luck to everyone out there. I look forward to seeing the winners next month and to those that are not as successful, remember that there are hundreds of teams that don't get to play tomorrow.

just my thoughts

match diesel

Monday, April 21, 2008

Sectionals Wrap Up and Regional Preview

So all the sectional tournaments have been played. There have been some upsets, some broken hearts, and some truly spectacular sectional showdowns. I love this time of year because we get to see who are the contenders and who are the pretenders. Here are some final sectional thoughts and some regional previews.

This was the best sectional tournament of the weekend and it lived up to the hype. Tufts and Harvard came into this tournament, one with success this year and one with experience in the series over the last few years. Tufts hasn't been to Nationals since 2004 and Harvard went in 2006. Tufts has been riding momentum since Vegas and while Harvard has the personnel to make it to Nationals this year, they have been a bit up and down. However, with Coach Josh McCarthy leading Red Line, I am not surprised that they edged past the E-Men this past weekend. Harvard has several club players and I am sure with the right regiment, they have peaked at the perfect time and will probably be the 1 or 2 seed going into Regionals. Tufts was not as dominant as I am sure they would have liked with close games against BC and MIT and a loss to Harvard who they beat two weeks ago. Regardless, this is series. All that matters it that you make the next round. They have things to think about and with the NE being the 2nd craziest region of the year (behind the NW), nothing is set in stone.

I think both Harvard and Tufts (like Williams and UMass) have an advantage that Brown and Dartmouth do not and that is a challenge at the sectional level. With close games before regionals teams can really figure out where they are weak and get an idea of what kind of mental preparation is still in order to win when it matters. I want Tufts to make it out of the NE and I hope their stellar coaching squad can get the right things up on the chalk board this week.

This was another great sectional tournament because it showcased two teams with historic teams in the series that have been relatively quiet throughout the season. Williams went to a soggy Santa Barbara and got rained out again at Terminus but when they finally got their chance in their region, they took it to the NE and won Yale Cup. UMass has been in a similar boat. They are routinely a powerhouse in the NE (despite not making nationals since 1988), and have had mixed results all year. However, pit these two foes against one another in a sectional barn burner and you'll see some fireworks. Williams won the first contest with a 11-9 victory, but games to 11 are bogus. I think UMass actually benefited from having Middlebury make it farther at Yale Cup because Zoo Disc was then relegated to a 2nd seed where they got to see their biggest challenge twice, winning in the encore game. Williams is still very much in the hunt for a Boulder berth. They came in wayy under the radar last year and took the 2nd spot to Columbus and 2008 could be the same thing.

UMass, on the other hand, has been in this position before, only to lose when it mattered. I have played for perennial choke teams and I can say that the only thing that can help UMass out in two weeks is to just execute. Forget emotion, forget history, the season, and just play your game.

These were the no surprise sections with 3 national contenders winning out. Michigan and Wisconsin played as they should with blowouts at basically every contest and they are each peaking perfectly. Hopefully Wisconsin's mental state is stable because they will need flawless offense to get past Florida next month. Likewise, Michigan has been outdoors for a little while and needs to get their wind game up to par. I am not sure what sort of weather awaits in Boulder because the biggest question is not wind but rather altitude and no team outside Mamabird will be accustomed to the low air pressure. But then again, it might not mean anything.

As for Carleton, I think they are in a position to make nationals, but they have yet to put together a performance that can challenge Wisconsin. A 13-10 win over Minnesota is a mixed bag. At first glance, some might think CUT should have won 13-8 or better but Minnesota is good this year. They made semis at Centex while CUT was playing in the finals of the 9-16 bracket. However, if Carleton wants to challenge the Hodags, they need to stomp these teams. I like that they got back on top of their section but with so much talent and NO coach, the physical AND mental preparation for regionals is something I don't think CUT has in them. Yes they will make nationals, but I think they go down fast and quiet in the finals. Hopefully they have the depth to win the backdoor game, something they have had to do several times the last few years.

This was a weird tourney. I figured Illinois and Notre Dame would go 1 and 2, which they did, but where the hell did North Park come from (check this)? I wanted to see Illinois and ND duke it out to see who was going to challenge Michigan next weekend, but that didn't happen. Instead North Park came out of nowhere, riding some serious pool play momentum into finals. After a marathon 17-16 DGP finals, I am sure they used up just about everything they had and got rocked 15-1 by ND. I suppose Illinois is still the biggest challenge for Magnum, but I am unsure what to make of these results. Hopefully one of these 3 teams makes a regional run worth mentioning, but maybe Ohio State will just come out and show why they should have been at Centex and that they belong at Nationals again. Either way, Great Lakes Regionals is going to be a great tournament not only because the competition is close but the 1 AND 2 team could have pool play wins Friday at Nationals.

Regionals Talk
First I want to say that Ryan put together a great write up already for each regional tournament but I have some thoughts to add.

This tournament will be good, but not great. Each team knows their respective place in this region and I don't see many upsets coming. Florida is easily #1 and their talent is only eclipsed by their consistency and like Wisconsin, I think they take this region without much trouble. Weather.com has temps in the 80's with little wind which is good for UNC because their depth could make Florida run more than they want. However, with enough time to prep, Brodie is probably back in the shape he wants after having mono, and Florida is ice cold when it comes to getting out of regionals the last 3 years and I think 2008 is more of the same.

The big story in this region will be UNC. They have had a great season with finals appearances at Centex and Queen City and quality wins over Michigan, NC State, UNC-W, and Georgia. They took the toughest section this year and with authority reserved for prison guards. On paper, they have all the pieces to make nationals but hey will have to go through NC State, UNC-W and Georgia to do so and I think this is a task Darkside is ready for. They slaughtered their sectional competition and Georgia is injury ridden and studs like Greg Swanson are going to need some divine healing to give JoJah a chance at getting back to the show. It also helps that UNC took 2nd in this region last year and every person on this team will have nerves of steel against these challengers.

Like AC regionals, this region will be the battle for 2nd. This region is very similar to the Southwest in the sense that 1 and 2 are relatively easily predicted, but there is a 3rd team waiting in the wings. Wisconsin has won the region the last few years and nothing short of Florida changing regions will change that. It seems like Wisconsin can win when they are prepared and confident. At Centex they had both but not at the same time. They looked past Michigan and were bullied by Florida, but neither situation will happen in Decorah.

Carleton is getting heat not only from above but from below. For years it has been CUT and the Hodags, but Minnesota is banging on the door. Carleton has been good at times this year as has Minnesota and despite CUT taking the section, both teams could make runs at Regionals. If I had to guess however, I think CUT takes out the Gray Ducks 15-11ish. CUT has been in this position many times and Minnesota has not. Carleton has veterans albeit short veterans, and they aren't going to crack under pressure. I see CUT being much more composed in a game to go situation than Minnesota simply because they have been there before and won several times.

I am really excited for this tournament. I have had a close eye on Michigan all year and I really want to see them back at Nationals. I see them taking this region but Ohio State has yet to have their chance at teams in their region. They have no sectional challenge and while Illinois, North Park and ND were beating the snot out of each other, Led Belly has been preparing and preparing. They made natties last year and their challenge then was Indiana who barely made regionals. In looking at these 4 or 5 teams, it looks like the region is Michigan's to lose and Illinois and Ohio State will meet at some point to see who will follow Magnum to Colorado. I really don't care which team makes it because both are playing good ultimate.

Ohio State has been to the show, but Illinois was there in 2004. This game will come down to fundamentals. When I saw Illinois play at Centex, it seemed like they had up and down focus. They took Florida to DGP with razor sharp offense and careful execution of each throw. However, some cavalier play allowed Minnesota to come back and beat them on DGP later that day. Ohio State did not have the luxury of playing at Centex and I am sure their experience and talent has allowed them to get to a 36-7 record. However, I wonder if they have learned enough tough lessons to beat out a confident Illinois team. I should also say that ND is ready and waiting and could catch either one of these teams sleeping and I am sure Michigan State wants to get back to nationals after missing the show in 2007.

This is another great region. Pitt has been the front runner all year but has not won the region in the last few years. Their competition has bounced around and teams like Penn and Maryland want a chance to make it out of the region. However, I remember last year watching Cornell kick ass up until regionals. They shocked Pitt in semis and made the finals against Delaware. However, after losing to Side Show they had to face Pitt again and lighting did not strike twice. Likewise, with two teams like Penn and Maryland so close in talent, we might see a 1-1 situation. I would think that the team to win the first contest would NOT make nationals because trying to win after losing is harder than winning after winning. 2/3 games are a bitch but the better team will win. The only commentary I can add is that I saw Aman Nalavade (Penn) play this past weekend at Henelopen because he is trying out for Pike and that kid can play. Yikes, hopefully you have a squirrley as hell defender to shut that speed demon down.

This is probably the best regional tournament this year. Things like precedent and history should be tossed completely out the window. Teams like Oregon and Stanford have yet to live up to their historic roots and teams like UBC and Santa Cruz have won down the stretch. The match up between Santa Cruz and UBC is interesting. The Thunderbirds have experienced veterans and Santa Cruz has firey athletes. This game will come down to composure. Karlinsky likes the bombs and with downfield receivers like Russell Wynne, I can see why. However, silly turnovers will be eaten up by UBC like french fires and mayo in the Maple Nation. UBC offense is fluid and Santa Cruz has intense man D, a fantastic combo. Hopefully neither team gets caght by a Whitman or LPC team in their hopes of asserting themselves.

If things play to seed, the 2/3 game, like everywhere else, will suck for the finals loser. If its UCSC, playing a team like Stanford in a 2/3 game will blow, especially if they are close in the last game on Saturday. Stanford has been there before like when they took out UBC in 2006 after losing to Oregon. Santa Cruz has yet to get this close to Nationals in recent years and hopefully the hype that DLK has generated over the last 6 months has convinced his team mates that they CAN beat anyone in this region. I think UBC can take out anyone in a 2/3 situation. They are confident and experienced and unless they are playing in the Austin heat after 4 other pool play games, they should be ready for Oregon, Stanford, Cal or whoever makes it as far as Sunday afternoon. Their challenge will be to keep up with a fast Santa Cruz team. Considering they held onto Wisconsin as well as they did, I think this puts them in a good position. Their handling core is stellar and in watching their disc movement it is easy to see that every played is comfortable with the disc and every cutter is a viable deep threat. If they can find the holes, they will exploit mismatches all day on offense and take advantage of college mistakes and generate breaks.

I think Stanford has the best chance of anyother team outside Santa Cruz and UBC. They have better athletes than Oregon and despite their poor season, Sherwood and Ezra are a great 1-2. Tom James has yet to really fill the handler void that Mark has been stuck with but if Bloodthirsty has the depth they should when it REALLY matters, they have a shot.

North Texas the 1 seed, wow, I never thought I would see the day. However, it just goes to show you what hunger and motivation can do for you against teams that think they have everything locked up. I think Texas is angry however and they will come out with guns blazing. Both of these teams could make nationals but I wouldn't be surprised if Texas went #1 and UNT #2.

In addition, Oklahoma is having a great year. They edged out Kansas and are as close to making nationals as they are going to get and it's their turn to leave it all on the field. I think their biggest threat is North Texas. Yes UNT is the 1 seed but I think Texas' experience gets them the region (sorry, prove me wrong) and I think their height and firepower will result in a good game against Oklahoma. Neither one is an under dog and both really want to make the show. This game will come down to, guess what, composure. Yes I say that word a lot, but it's the most important thing in this game. Athletic ability, speed, a great flick break, all that crap means nothing unless you can separate mind and body and just execute. I fear that UNT will blow out Oklahoma because they will have the experience of beating a team like Texas when it mattered and Oklahoma's biggest win is Kansas, a team that has not been as good as they were in 2007. They also got rocked by UNT 7-12 at Frostbite. Either way, I hope we see some new faces at nationals because a team that really earns that honor really brings it and I hope they get to Boulder and edge out more hyped teams.

I like how SW regionals has pool play Saturday unlike the Northwest and the South. Peripheral to format, the Bird stomps here. MB will come in ready and confident after their usual Sectional and Fools Fest romps. Catt Wilson will have this team prepared and their high flying talent in Jolian and Mac Taylor will be well supported by Wicus and Pebbles. I think the only way they go down is if Arizona can capitalize on MB's O-Line turnovers. Colorado will come at you with a great defensive D-line who will aim at 2-3 breaks to beat you but you could just as easily stay on serve because their D-line offense is ehh. The true test will be first half. When these two team played at Centex, MB started off 5-0 nothing and no team comes back from that. Arizona needs to stay close early and get a 1st half break. If they can do that, their offense is good enough to keep up with Colorado as the game wears on.

Despite the hope, I think Colorado takes the region. The last time they lost in the Regional finals was 2004 to Santa Barbara and Arizona is not as good as that Black Tide team. The game of the weekend will be the 2/3 with Claremont. I had some friends at SoCal sectionals and the consensus seems to be that Stout is unreal and Claremont has the tools to put a run together. However, it seems like Arizona has the same tools with players like Gafni and Kershner. If Arizona can get it together early, they'll take this game. They are 3-0 against Claremont this year and this game will be theirs to lose. However, if Claremont can catch a break here or there, momentum will be on their side and in a game-to-go where neither team has been, momentum is all you need. I don't care which one of these teams makes it because both will have earned it. The Southwest sucks and making it out of your section and getting past teams like UCSB and UCSD that have dominated for so long is awesome. Good luck to both of these teams and hopefully the results will reflect well on superb seasons by both teams.

Lets see what happens at the last sectionals first.

Closing Thoughts
Like I have said before, 2008 has been awesome. Their have been so many great stories with Michigan and Arizona's rise to elite status and the continuation of the epic Blue Caller rivalry between Florida and Wisconsin. The completion of regionals will cap off a great season of teams trying to get to the show. Nationals will be icing on the cake for most teams that will be happy to just be there. Teams like UNC, Texas, UBC, Pitt, etc.. all know the chance of playing on Sunday is pretty small but in just making Nationals, they are given the opportunity to improve beyond the scope of 95% of other college programs. The bottom line to all the teams out there is that no matter what kind of a season you have, if you want to earn the hype, the gold standard is to make semis. Be in the final 4, thats all that matters. You do that and people will be watching you right out of the gate next year.

Good luck to everyone in the coming weeks, now is the time to put the strategy and emotion of 2008 away and just execute. Play your game and hopefully your preparation and effort will get you the W's you need to make nationals. If not, let the drinking start early.

just my thoughts

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